Codex judge ballot — overnight picks
I score the proposed first quest, not the fame of the parent problem. A finite computation that merely illustrates a conjecture is not a dent; the output must be a new exact witness, a certified finite obstruction, or a strict numerical bound improvement.
P01. Quantitative arithmetic removal in the integers
- slug: quantitative-arithmetic-removal
- dentable_tonight: 2
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: needs-new-theory — no isolated finite inequality whose certification would improve the general dependence
- tonight_quest: none
P02. A logarithmic saving for five-term progression-free sets
- slug: five-term-progression-log-saving
- dentable_tonight: 1
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — an improvement needs a new inverse/density-increment idea
- tonight_quest: none
P03. Four-term progressions in Fourier-uniform sets
- slug: four-ap-fourier-uniform
- dentable_tonight: 2
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: no-finite-handle — a parameter scan of nilsequences is not an exact counterexample to the asymptotic statement
- tonight_quest: none
P04. The Möbius-ladder Cayley–Sidorenko inequality
- slug: mobius-ladder-cayley-sidorenko
- dentable_tonight: 2
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: needs-new-theory — discovering the missing global Cauchy–Schwarz/SOS certificate is the open problem
- tonight_quest: none
P05. Extremal affine copies of
- slug: affine-013-copies
- dentable_tonight: 3
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: small-n-proof
- codex_cost: M
- reject: no-finite-handle — the proposal gives no unresolved finite frontier, and small extremizers alone do not move the asymptotic constant
- tonight_quest: none
P06. Sumsets with no uniquely represented element
- slug: no-unique-sum-mod-p
- dentable_tonight: 5
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: small-n-proof
- codex_cost: S
- reject:
- tonight_quest: Determine the exact minimum size for the first unclassified small primes by symmetry-broken SAT, emitting each extremal set or an independently checkable UNSAT certificate.
P07. The second term for Sidon subsets of
- slug: sidon-second-term
- dentable_tonight: 3
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: bound-search
- codex_cost: M
- reject: too-big — isolated finite Sidon records do not improve either stated infinite-family bound
- tonight_quest: none
P08. A long gap in a dilate modulo a prime
- slug: long-gap-dilate-mod-prime
- dentable_tonight: 3
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: small-n-proof
- codex_cost: M
- reject: no-finite-handle — small-prime extremizers do not certify a larger universal constant
- tonight_quest: none
P09. Thin cyclic additive bases
- slug: thin-cyclic-additive-bases
- dentable_tonight: 2
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — one needs an infinite parametric construction, not a finite search record
- tonight_quest: none
P10. A polynomial-size core in an approximate group
- slug: approximate-group-polynomial-core
- dentable_tonight: 1
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: needs-new-theory — automated Ruzsa calculus does not supply the missing polynomial dependence
- tonight_quest: none
P11. A composite in a sumset below the square-root threshold
- slug: composite-in-thin-sumset
- dentable_tonight: 1
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — an exponent advance is not reduced to a certificate-sized lemma
- tonight_quest: none
P12. Two smooth summands for every integer
- slug: two-smooth-summands
- dentable_tonight: 2
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — finite residue templates do not establish the asymptotic statement
- tonight_quest: none
P13. Positive density of the Hofstadter closure
- slug: hofstadter-ab-minus-one-density
- dentable_tonight: 4
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: small-n-proof
- codex_cost: S
- reject:
- tonight_quest: Generate the closure with parent pointers and certify a new maximal covered prefix or finite interval-density record, outputting a replayable derivation DAG for every claimed member.
P14. A smaller constant in the two-squares gap
- slug: two-squares-short-gap
- dentable_tonight: 2
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: needs-new-theory — finite gap data cannot prove the eventual constant
- tonight_quest: none
P15. Chowla's cosine problem
- slug: chowla-cosine
- dentable_tonight: 2
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — an SDP auxiliary polynomial has no specified finite target that implies a new universal bound
- tonight_quest: none
P16. Zeros of integer cosine sums
- slug: zeros-of-cosine-sums
- dentable_tonight: 2
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: bound-search
- codex_cost: M
- reject: no-finite-handle — root isolation in selected families does not increment the universal asymptotic lower bound
- tonight_quest: none
P17. Irreducibility of random polynomials
- slug: random-zero-one-polynomial-irreducibility
- dentable_tonight: 1
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — factor statistics are evidence, not a new asymptotic theorem
- tonight_quest: none
P18. Close the worst-case trace-reconstruction gap
- slug: worst-case-trace-reconstruction-gap
- dentable_tonight: 0
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — changing either exponent is a major research program
- tonight_quest: none
P19. Full asymptotics for the -queens count
- slug: n-queens-full-asymptotic
- dentable_tonight: 1
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — fitting correction terms does not prove an asymptotic equivalent
- tonight_quest: none
P20. Density of the Ulam sequence
- slug: ulam-sequence-density
- dentable_tonight: 2
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: no-finite-handle — computation and automaton discovery lack a specified certifiable advance
- tonight_quest: none
P21. Shannon capacity of the 7-cycle
- slug: shannon-capacity-c7
- dentable_tonight: 4
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: bound-search
- codex_cost: M
- reject:
- tonight_quest: Search one previously unexhausted power of for an independent set beating the published product lower bound and emit the vertex words plus an exact pairwise nonconfusability checker.
P22. Density loss for linear radius-two covering codes
- slug: linear-covering-code-radius-two
- dentable_tonight: 4
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: finite-cex
- codex_cost: M
- reject:
- tonight_quest: At one explicit new codimension, use SAT to find a parity-check matrix improving the best finite density and emit the matrix with an exhaustive radius-two covering certificate.
P23. The first open no-three-in-line grid regime
- slug: no-three-in-line-grid
- dentable_tonight: 4
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: finite-cex
- codex_cost: M
- reject:
- tonight_quest: At the first unresolved grid order, search for a -point set and emit exact coordinates, or a proof-log-backed CP/SAT obstruction.
P24. Cubic stability for large finite-field arcs
- slug: finite-field-arc-cubic-stability
- dentable_tonight: 2
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: no-finite-handle — finite-prime classifications do not establish the asymptotic stability claim
- tonight_quest: none
P25. Improve the Heilbronn triangle exponent
- slug: heilbronn-triangle-exponent
- dentable_tonight: 0
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — an exponent improvement requires new incidence theory
- tonight_quest: none
P26. Carbery's large rectangle problem
- slug: carbery-large-rectangle
- dentable_tonight: 1
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: needs-new-theory — a finite discretization does not remove the logarithm in the measurable problem
- tonight_quest: none
P27. Exact Cohn–Elkies certificate for planar circle packing
- slug: cohn-elkies-planar-certificate
- dentable_tonight: 0
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — exact optimality of the LP scheme is itself the hard analytic problem
- tonight_quest: none
P28. The chromatic number of the plane
- slug: hadwiger-nelson-plane-coloring
- dentable_tonight: 1
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — an unconstrained search for a 6-chromatic unit-distance graph is not a one-quest finite frontier
- tonight_quest: none
P29. Shrink the 509-vertex five-chromatic unit-distance graph
- slug: smaller-five-chromatic-unit-distance-graph
- dentable_tonight: 4
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: finite-cex
- codex_cost: M
- reject:
- tonight_quest: Starting from the published 509-vertex exact-coordinate graph, alternate SAT unsat-core extraction and vertex deletion to produce any smaller exact-coordinate 5-chromatic subgraph with a checkable coloring-UNSAT certificate.
P30. The five-dimensional kissing number
- slug: kissing-number-dimension-five
- dentable_tonight: 1
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — a restricted numerical SDP does not improve the unrestricted kissing-number bound
- tonight_quest: none
P31. Existence of a projective plane of order 12
- slug: projective-plane-order-twelve
- dentable_tonight: 1
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: cost-L — the 157-point design search needs a major symmetry classification, not a single generic SAT call
- tonight_quest: none
P32. The missing degree-57 Moore graph
- slug: moore-graph-degree-57
- dentable_tonight: 0
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — no concrete remaining automorphism or coherent-configuration case is specified
- tonight_quest: none
P33. Frankl's union-closed sets conjecture
- slug: union-closed-sets
- dentable_tonight: 2
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — unspecified near-extremal ILP classification is a campaign
- tonight_quest: none
P34. The – conjecture for posets
- slug: one-third-two-thirds-posets
- dentable_tonight: 3
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: small-n-proof
- codex_cost: M
- reject: no-finite-handle — the proposal does not identify the first unverified order or a new structural class
- tonight_quest: none
P35. The three-sunflower conjecture
- slug: three-sunflower-conjecture
- dentable_tonight: 0
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — removing a logarithmic factor is a major theoretical advance
- tonight_quest: none
P36. Caccetta–Häggkvist for directed triangles
- slug: caccetta-haggkvist-k3
- dentable_tonight: 1
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — the unrestricted threshold is not a finite search problem
- tonight_quest: none
P37. Seymour's second-neighborhood conjecture
- slug: seymour-second-neighborhood
- dentable_tonight: 3
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: small-n-proof
- codex_cost: M
- reject: no-finite-handle — neither the next order nor the proposed hereditary class is fixed
- tonight_quest: none
P38. Tuza's triangle packing-covering conjecture
- slug: tuza-triangle-packing-covering
- dentable_tonight: 2
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: needs-new-theory — mining split graphs does not itself provide a certified general exchange lemma
- tonight_quest: none
P39. Push graph reconstruction beyond 13 vertices
- slug: graph-reconstruction-next-order
- dentable_tonight: 2
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: small-n-proof
- codex_cost: L
- reject: cost-L — exhaustive unlabeled-graph order 14 is far beyond a one-quest implementation and run
- tonight_quest: none
P40. ErdÅs–Hajnal for the six-vertex path
- slug: erdos-hajnal-p6
- dentable_tonight: 1
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — extending the recent theorem needs a new structural theory and a fresh status audit
- tonight_quest: none
P41. Determine
- slug: ramsey-r55
- dentable_tonight: 1
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: bound-search
- codex_cost: L
- reject: cost-L — the remaining SAT instances are frontier-scale computations
- tonight_quest: none
P42. Determine the van der Waerden number
- slug: van-der-waerden-w27
- dentable_tonight: 4
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: finite-cex
- codex_cost: M
- reject:
- tonight_quest: Use symmetry-aware incremental SAT and cyclic-zipper seeds to find a 2-coloring of with no monochromatic 7-AP, then emit and independently verify the coloring certificate.
P43. Improve the lower bound for the seventh Schur number
- slug: schur-number-seven-bound
- dentable_tonight: 5
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: finite-cex
- codex_cost: M
- reject:
- tonight_quest: Encode a shifted-template-seeded seven-color sum-free partition of in incremental SAT and, if found, emit the coloring with an exhaustive exact verifier.
P44. Lonely runner for 14 runners
- slug: lonely-runner-fourteen
- dentable_tonight: 2
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: small-n-proof
- codex_cost: L
- reject: cost-L — scaling the new computer-assisted proof by one runner is a research computation, not a bounded generic sieve run
- tonight_quest: none
P45. The 33-point ErdÅs–Szekeres problem
- slug: erdos-szekeres-seven
- dentable_tonight: 1
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: cost-L — the oriented-matroid search at 33 points remains frontier-scale
- tonight_quest: none
P46. The Brocard–Ramanujan factorial-square equation
- slug: brocard-ramanujan-factorial-square
- dentable_tonight: 4
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: atp-smt
- codex_cost: S
- reject:
- tonight_quest: Mine a new modulus covering additional residue classes of , then certify by exact modular arithmetic that is a nonsquare in every covered class beyond the modulus threshold.
P47. Uniqueness of Markov numbers
- slug: markov-number-unicity
- dentable_tonight: 2
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: needs-new-theory — finite Markov-tree checks do not advance the general uniqueness conjecture
- tonight_quest: none
P48. Amenability of Thompson's group
- slug: thompson-f-amenability
- dentable_tonight: 1
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — finite Cayley-graph ratios are not a proof-level dent without a specified rigorous bound frontier
- tonight_quest: none
P49. Expansion from random generators of alternating groups
- slug: random-alternating-group-expansion
- dentable_tonight: 1
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: needs-new-theory — a restricted numerical spectral experiment does not prove uniform expansion
- tonight_quest: none
P50. Remove the logarithmic loss in permanent formula lower bounds
- slug: permanent-formula-log-loss
- dentable_tonight: 0
- literature_is_real: yes
- attack_shape: research-program
- codex_cost: L
- reject: too-big — removing the loss reopens a headline Ten Advances result rather than isolating a finite leftover
- tonight_quest: none
Top 8
| rank | PXX | slug | dentable | shape | cost | why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P43 | schur-number-seven-bound | 5 | finite-cex | M | Direct SAT construction; one extra integer is a strict bound and the coloring is a tiny exact certificate. |
| 2 | P06 | no-unique-sum-mod-p | 5 | small-n-proof | S | Small-prime minima admit witnesses and checkable UNSAT certificates, with a real Green/arXiv target. |
| 3 | P13 | hofstadter-ab-minus-one-density | 4 | small-n-proof | S | Exact closure parent pointers turn a new finite record into a replayable certificate. |
| 4 | P46 | brocard-ramanujan-factorial-square | 4 | atp-smt | S | Modular nonsquare obstructions can yield a short certified elimination of new infinite residue classes. |
| 5 | P42 | van-der-waerden-w27 | 4 | finite-cex | M | A coloring of length 3704 immediately and checkably raises the OEIS-backed lower bound. |
| 6 | P29 | smaller-five-chromatic-unit-distance-graph | 4 | finite-cex | M | Deletion plus SAT can return an exact smaller construction, but depends on obtaining the published graph data. |
| 7 | P21 | shannon-capacity-c7 | 4 | bound-search | M | A larger independent set in one graph power is a strict capacity-bound move with an elementary checker. |
| 8 | P23 | no-three-in-line-grid | 4 | finite-cex | M | Coordinates or proof logs are clean, though the current first unresolved finite order must be audited before launch. |
Recommended 5
- P43 —
schur-number-seven-bound(M): Encode a shifted-template-seeded seven-color sum-free partition of in incremental SAT and, if found, emit the coloring with an exhaustive exact verifier. - P06 —
no-unique-sum-mod-p(S): Determine the exact minimum size for the first unclassified small primes by symmetry-broken SAT, emitting each extremal set or an independently checkable UNSAT certificate. - P13 —
hofstadter-ab-minus-one-density(S): Generate the closure with parent pointers and certify a new maximal covered prefix or finite interval-density record, outputting a replayable derivation DAG for every claimed member. - P46 —
brocard-ramanujan-factorial-square(S): Mine a new modulus covering additional residue classes of , then certify by exact modular arithmetic that is a nonsquare in every covered class beyond the modulus threshold. - P42 —
van-der-waerden-w27(M): Use symmetry-aware incremental SAT and cyclic-zipper seeds to find a 2-coloring of with no monochromatic 7-AP, then emit and independently verify the coloring certificate.